Kinnaj asks:
Will Donald Trump cease to be a candidate for the 2024 Republican nomination for US president before 15 January 2024?
Started
Jul 28, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 15, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Closed Jan 15, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Former President Trump announced in November 2022 that he was running for president amid a slew of legal troubles (US News & World Report, BBC). Examples of what will count for resolution of this question include an official announcement that Trump no longer seeks the Republican Party nomination for president or that he is fully suspending his campaign.
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 15 January 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3% | |
| No | 97% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 248 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 665 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
