Before 1 July 2017, will Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte proclaim martial law?
Started
Oct 11, 2016 05:00PM UTC
Closed May 31, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed May 31, 2017 05:00PM UTC
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Since President Duterte took office in July 2016, police and private citizens have killed thousands as part of a "war on drugs" encouraged by the president (Time, Business Insider, NY Times). In August 2016, Duterte threatened to declare martial law if the country's judiciary interfered in this campaign (Time). According to the Philippine Constitution, the President must submit a report to Congress 48 hours after proclaiming martial law and Congress has the authority to revoke the proclamation (see Article VII, Section 18 in The Constitution of the Republic of the Philippines). If Duterte proclaims martial law, the question will close on option A if Congress does not revoke the proclamation within a week from the date of his proclamation.
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This question was closed as "Yes, and Congress will NOT revoke the proclamation" with an end date of 31 May 2017. President Duterte declared martial law in Mindanao on 24 May 2017 (Chicago Tribune, BBC). Congress did not revoke the proclamation within a week of the proclamation. The Philippine Senate approved a resolution voicing support for President Duterte’s declaration of martial law in Mindanao, and later rejected a resolution by the minority bloc calling for a joint session of Congress (The Philippine Star). See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
This question was closed as "Yes, and Congress will NOT revoke the proclamation" with an end date of 31 May 2017. President Duterte declared martial law in Mindanao on 24 May 2017 (Chicago Tribune, BBC). Congress did not revoke the proclamation within a week of the proclamation. The Philippine Senate approved a resolution voicing support for President Duterte’s declaration of martial law in Mindanao, and later rejected a resolution by the minority bloc calling for a joint session of Congress (The Philippine Star). See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes, and Congress will NOT revoke the proclamation | 17% | |
Yes, but Congress WILL revoke the proclamation | 1% | |
No | 82% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 310 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
Number of Forecasts | 988 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |