Foxes ask:
When will a major scientific journal publish a peer-reviewed article confirming that the material LK-99 is a room-temperature superconductor working at ambient pressure?
Closing Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC
In late July 2023, Korean scientists published preprints of two academic papers claiming to have synthesized a room-temperature superconductor working at ambient pressure, named LK-99 (arXiv, Science.org, Phys.org). The means by which the LK-99 is either doped or undoped is immaterial (Halbleiter.org). "Superconductor" means a material that 1) has no electrical resistance and 2) does not allow magnetic fields to penetrate it, which is called the Meissner effect (Live Science, Britannica - Meissner effect). A finding of negligible resistance consistent with findings for other established superconductors would count. For the purposes of this question, "major scientific journal" is any journal with a Scimago Journal & Country Rank (SJR) greater than 1.00 as of the publication of the article (SJR, Daemen.edu).
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Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
---|---|---|---|---|
Before 1 January 2024 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Between 1 January 2024 and 30 June 2024 | 0% | 0% | 0% | -0.19% |
Between 1 July 2024 and 31 December 2024 | 1.00% | 0% | 0% | -0.56% |
Not before 1 January 2025 | 99.00% | 0% | 0% | +0.75% |