What will be the value of the US "M2" money supply as of 24 June 2024?

Started Aug 11, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 24, 2024 07:01AM UTC

The US "M2" money supply metric has been contracting as the Federal Reserve moves to tighten monetary policy (Yahoo, CNBC, Investopedia, Federal Reserve). The question will be suspended on 23 June 2024 and the outcome determined using data as provided by the Federal Reserve Economic Database (FRED) (FRED). As of 26 June 2023, the value of US M2 was $20,722.7 billion.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.


The question closed "Between $20,500.0 billion and $21,000.0 billion, inclusive" with a closing date of 24 June 2024.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $18,500.0 billion 0%
Between $18,500.0 billion and $19,000.0 billion, inclusive 0%
More than $19,000.0 billion but less than $19,500.0 billion 0%
Between $19,500.0 billion and $20,000.0 billion, inclusive 0%
More than $20,000.0 billion but less than $20,500.0 billion 9%
Between $20,500.0 billion and $21,000.0 billion, inclusive 43%
More than $21,000.0 billion 48%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 33
Average for questions older than 6 months: 187
Number of Forecasts 269
Average for questions older than 6 months: 542
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.136781
2.
-0.058702
4.
-0.051574
5.
-0.04067

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username