What will be the spot price per barrel for West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil on 29 December 2023?
Closed Dec 29, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Gasoline prices in the US reached 10-month highs in August 2023 as oil prices rise (CNN, The Hill). The question will be suspended on 28 December 2023 and the outcome determined using the spot price per barrel per the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database, expected in January 2024 (FRED).
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
The question closed "More than $70.00 but less than $80.00" with a closing date of 29 December 2023.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Less than $60.00 | 0% | |
Between $60.00 and $70.00, inclusive | 5% | |
More than $70.00 but less than $80.00 | 90% | |
Between $80.00 and $90.00, inclusive | 5% | |
More than $90.00 but less than $100.00 | 0% | |
Between $100.00 and $110.00, inclusive | 0% | |
More than $110.00 | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 66 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
Number of Forecasts | 600 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 541 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |