When will Srettha Thavisin cease to be the prime minister of Thailand?

Started Aug 25, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 14, 2024 08:00AM UTC

Srettha was appointed prime minister as a political compromise more than three months after the 2023 Thai general election (Bangkok, CNN, France 24). Thailand has seen two military coups in the past 17 years (Refworld, European Parliament - Thailand: from coup to crisis).

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The question closed "Between 24 February 2024 and 24 August 2024" with a closing date of 14 August 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Before 24 February 2024 0%
Between 24 February 2024 and 24 August 2024 9%
Not before 25 August 2024 91%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 28
Average for questions older than 6 months: 196
Number of Forecasts 140
Average for questions older than 6 months: 560
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.577807
3.
-0.180342
4.
-0.162136
5.
-0.133027

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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