How many Republican presidential candidates will participate in person for the second Republican primary debate in 2023?
Closed Sep 27, 2023 07:01AM UTC
The Republican National Committee has reportedly raised the minimum standards for participation in the second presidential primary debate (Politico). The second Republican presidential primary debate is scheduled for 27 September 2023 in Simi Valley, CA (USA Today). If the debate is rescheduled for another date in 2023, then the close date will be rescheduled accordingly. If there is no Republican primary debate in 2023, the question will be voided.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
The question closed "6 or 7" with a closing date of 27 September 2023.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| 3 or fewer | 0% | |
| 4 or 5 | 1% | |
| 6 or 7 | 98% | |
| 8 or 9 | 1% | |
| 10 or more | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 37 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 106 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
