What will President Biden’s approval rating be as of 15 December 2023, according to FiveThirtyEight?
Closed Dec 15, 2023 08:01AM UTC
The question will be suspended on 14 December 2023 and the outcome determined using "All polls" data provided by FiveThirtyEight's "How [un]popular is Joe Biden?" page (FiveThirtyEight). As of 25 August 2023, Biden's approval rating was 41.4%. The data for 15 December 2023 will be accessed for resolution at approximately 5:00PM ET on 19 December 2023.
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The question closed "Higher than 38.5% but lower than 41.0%" with a closing date of 15 December 2023.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Lower than 36.0% | 0% | |
| Between 36.0% and 38.5%, inclusive | 80% | |
| Higher than 38.5% but lower than 41.0% | 17% | |
| Between 41.0% and 43.5%, inclusive | 2% | |
| Higher than 43.5% but lower than 46.0% | 1% | |
| Between 46.0% and 48.5%, inclusive | 0% | |
| Higher than 48.5% | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 85 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 643 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
