Before 1 July 2017, will the US endorse a peace plan which allows Bashar al-Assad to remain in power?
Started
Oct 18, 2016 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2017 06:59AM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2017 06:59AM UTC
The United States' current Syria policy calls for the removal of Bashar al-Assad from power (The Guardian, US Department of State, The White House, US Government Information), a position which puts them at odds with Russia (BBC, CNN) and which has been questioned by a US presidential candidate (International Business Times, CNN). The endorsement of an agreement which only allows Assad to remain in power during a transition period will NOT suffice (e.g. US Department of State), but an agreement which allows Assad to compete in national elections would.
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To date, there is no evidence the US has endorsed a peace plan which allows Bashar al-Assad to remain in power. This question was closed as "b) no" with an end date of 30 June 2017.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
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Yes | 0% | |
No | 100.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 492 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
Number of Forecasts | 1900 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |