Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
Will the full US House of Representatives vote on impeaching President Joe Biden before 1 January 2024?
Closed Jan 01, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Speaker of the House of Representatives Kevin McCarthy announced 12 September 2023 that he was directing committees to open a formal impeachment inquiry into President Joe Biden (Twitter, Axios). Only votes by the full House of Representatives will count (Congressional Research Service). The question will not close early upon a full House vote to not impeach President Biden.
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes, and the full House will vote in the affirmative to impeach President Biden | 0% | |
| Yes, but the full House will not vote in the affirmative to impeach President Biden | 1% | |
| No | 99% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 96 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 276 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
