acepoint asks:
Will the President of Germany dissolve the Bundestag before 1 January 2025?
Closed Dec 27, 2024 10:00AM (9 days ago)
Germany's ruling coalition of the Social Democrats (SPD), the Greens, and the neoliberal Free Democrats (FDP) is facing very low popularity as the far-right AfD rises in the polls (Deutsche Welle, AP, Politico - Germany Poll of Polls). Germany last held early elections in 2005 after President Köhler dissolved parliament at the request of then Chancellor Gerhard Schröder (Deutsche Welle, Bundeswahlleiterin [in German]). The date the elections would take place is immaterial.
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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 27 December 2024.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 95% | |
No | 5% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 68 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 186 | |
Number of Forecasts | 444 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 540 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |