When will the leaders of China, Japan, and South Korea next hold a trilateral meeting in person?
Closed Apr 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC
Efforts are reportedly underway to restart once-regular trilateral meetings between the leaders of China, Japan, and South Korea, with South Korea reportedly proposing a meeting in December 2023 (US News & World Report, Voice of America, Deutsche Welle). The location of the meeting is immaterial, so long as all three leaders are in the same room. A meeting held in concert with another event (e.g., G20 summit, state visit) would count so long as a meeting is held with the three leaders among themselves and their own respective entourages. For the purposes of this question, the leaders of Japan and South Korea are the prime minister and president, respectively, and a meeting without either leader would not count. As of the launch of this question, Li Qiang was the incumbent Premier of China, and Xi Jinping was the incumbent President of China. A meeting without either China's premier or president would not count, and a meeting with both China's premier and president would close "and the President of China will represent China."
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The question closed "No meeting will take place before 1 April 2024" with a closing date of 1 April 2024.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Before 1 January 2024, and the Premier of China will represent China | 0% | |
Before 1 January 2024, and the President of China will represent China | 1% | |
Between 1 January 2024 and 31 March 2024, and the Premier of China will represent China | 1% | |
Between 1 January 2024 and 31 March 2024, and the President of China will represent China | 1% | |
No meeting will take place before 1 April 2024 | 97% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 44 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 193 | |
Number of Forecasts | 167 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 554 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |