What percentage of the vote will the Democratic candidate win in the 2023 Kentucky gubernatorial election?
Started
Oct 11, 2023 09:00AM UTC
Closed Nov 07, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Closed Nov 07, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Challenges
Incumbent Democratic Governor Andy Beshear is running for reelection in a state that went for Donald Trump in 2020 (US News & World Report, Ballotpedia).
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The question closed "More than 50.0% but less than 53.0%" with a closing date of 7 November 2023.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| 50.0% or less and will not win the election | 28% | |
| 50.0% or less but will win the election | 35% | |
| More than 50.0% but less than 53.0% | 32% | |
| 53.0% or more | 5% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 104 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 274 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
