Kinnaj asks:
When will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be the prime minister of Israel?
Started
Oct 20, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 20, 2024 07:01AM UTC
Closed Oct 20, 2024 07:01AM UTC
Challenges
Prime Minister Netanyahu, who was already facing domestic political backlash on proposed changes to the country's judiciary, is facing blame for the early October attacks in southern Israel that reportedly killed at least 1,400 people in the country (ABC News, Newsweek, Middle East Monitor).
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The question closed "Not before 20 October 2024" with a closing date of 20 October 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Before 19 February 2024 | 0% | |
| Between 19 February 2024 and 19 June 2024 | 0% | |
| Between 20 June 2024 and 19 October 2024 | 1% | |
| Not before 20 October 2024 | 99% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 148 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 806 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
