SharpEdge asks:
When will Mike Johnson cease to be the Speaker of the US House of Representatives?
Started
Nov 03, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 05, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Closed Nov 05, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Challenges
After three weeks without a Speaker since Kevin McCarthy was ousted in early October 2023, House Republicans elected Louisiana Representative Mike Johnson to the post (House.gov, NBC News).
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The question closed "Not before 5 November 2024" with a closing date of 5 November 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Before 4 March 2024 | 2% | |
| Between 4 March 2024 and 4 July 2024 | 0% | |
| Between 5 July 2024 and 4 November 2024 | 1% | |
| Not before 5 November 2024 | 97% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 119 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 565 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
