Will the US Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) authorize SpaceX to launch a third flight of Starship Super Heavy before 1 January 2024?
Started
Nov 24, 2023 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2024 08:01AM UTC
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After a more successful, though not completely successful, second test of SpaceX's Starship on 18 November 2023, Elon Musk has said that they could be ready for a third test within three to four weeks (Space.com, Isp.page, Payload, Space.com). License authorization for the second flight was given on 15 November 2023 (X [fka Twitter], US News & World Report).
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 14% | |
| No | 86% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 40 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 99 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
