cosaib and 
The Economist ask:
Will Min Aung Hlaing cease to be the head of government of Myanmar before 1 September 2024?
Closed Sep 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC
The ruling military government of Myanmar, which came to power in a coup in February 2021 led by current Prime Minister Min Aung Hlaing, has faced increased fighting with armed opposition groups around the country (Economist, CNN, NBC News, Britannica - Head of Government). If Min Aung Hlaing flees Myanmar, he will be deemed to have ceased to be the head of government, and whether he has fled Myanmar will be determined using credible open source reporting.
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 September 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 11% | |
| No | 89% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 308 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 196 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 897 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 560 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
