Will Moody's downgrade its long-term credit rating for China before 7 December 2024?
Started
Dec 08, 2023 06:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 07, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Closed Dec 07, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Challenges
On 5 December 2023, Moody's Investor Service (Moody's) changed its ratings outlook for China to negative, citing surging local government debt and a deepening property crisis (Voice of America, Moody's, Investopedia - Credit Ratings Scale, Trading Economics).
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 7 December 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2% | |
| No | 98% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 64 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 265 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
