What will be the value of Total Assets of the Federal Reserve as of 25 December 2024?

Started Dec 22, 2023 06:00PM
Closed Dec 25, 2024 08:01AM (4 months ago)

The Federal Reserve's balance sheet shrank from a record near $9 trillion in the spring of 2022 to about $7.7 trillion in early December 2023, though the pace of bringing it down has some concerned (US News & World Report, Yahoo, Investopedia). The question will be suspended on 24 December 2024 and the outcome determined using data provided by the Federal Reserve (Federal Reserve (data table)). As of 13 December 2023, the Total Assets of the Federal Reserve were $7,739,566 million, or $7.739566 trillion.

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The question closed "More than $6.5 trillion but less than $6.9 trillion" with a closing date of 25 December 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $6.1 trillion 0%
Between $6.1 trillion and $6.5 trillion, inclusive 0%
More than $6.5 trillion but less than $6.9 trillion 91%
Between $6.9 trillion and $7.3 trillion, inclusive 9%
More than $7.3 trillion but less than $7.7 trillion 0%
$7.7 trillion or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 37
Average for questions older than 6 months: 179
Number of Forecasts 360
Average for questions older than 6 months: 523
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.130109
2.
-0.127745
3.
-0.092424
4.
-0.058407
5.
-0.050301

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

- - - Correct answer became the crowd's highest probability answer - Nov 19, 2024 2:08PM PST (36 days before close, question was 90% complete)
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