In Donald Trump's appeal before the US Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia (DC Circuit), will the DC Circuit rule that President Trump is immune from prosecution for the criminal charges against him in the DC District Court?
Closed Feb 06, 2024 03:00PM UTC
After the US Supreme Court denied Trump's appeal for it to rule on his claims of presidential immunity that were denied by the district court, the DC Circuit is scheduled to hear oral arguments on 9 January 2024 (SCOTUSblog, AP, NPR). The DC Circuit is expected to hand down its decision in the coming months, but if it does not and the case is otherwise disposed (e.g., dismissal), the question will close as "No." If the DC Circuit decides this case without addressing this question's particular issue of law, the question will close as "No." If the DC Circuit rules that Trump is immune from prosecution for some, but not all, of the criminal charges, the question will close "No." Appeals and litigation subsequent to a ruling or announcement, including a rehearing en banc, are immaterial (Cornell).
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 6 February 2024.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
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Yes | 13% | |
No | 87% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 97 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 196 | |
Number of Forecasts | 154 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 560 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |