Before 6 July 2024, will American journalist Evan Gershkovich leave Russia?
Started
Jan 05, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 06, 2024 07:01AM UTC
Closed Jul 06, 2024 07:01AM UTC
Challenges
Wall Street Journal reporter Evan Gershkovich was arrested in Russia on 29 March 2023 for espionage, a claim he denies (Politico). US officials have said that there have been discussions with Russia on a possible prisoner exchange (Fox News, AP). Gershkovich must leave Russia alive to count.
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 6 July 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1% | |
| No | 99% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 85 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 186 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 212 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 539 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
