The Economist asks:
What will be the US domestic box office gross in the opening weekend for Deadpool 3, according to Box Office Mojo?
Closed Jul 27, 2024 07:01AM UTC
As Hollywood gets back to normal after the writers and actors strikes in 2023, the film industry is bracing for a down year, while there's some hope for success with some titles (Economist, Deadline). The question will be suspended on 26 July 2024 and the outcome determined using non-estimate data as reported by Box Office Mojo for the weekend of 26-28 July 2024 (Box Office Mojo, see "Domestic Weekend"). The film is scheduled to be released on 26 July 2024 (Digital Spy). If the release date is changed, the suspend date will be changed accordingly unless it is postponed beyond 30 September 2024.
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The question closed "More than $180 million but less than $220 million" with a closing date of 29 July 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than $60 million | 1% | |
| Between $60 million and $100 million, inclusive | 7% | |
| More than $100 million but less than $140 million | 25% | |
| Between $140 million and $180 million, inclusive | 31% | |
| More than $180 million but less than $220 million | 26% | |
| $220 million or more | 9% | |
| Deadpool 3 will not be released before 1 October 2024 | 1% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 204 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 633 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
