CommunityCollege asks:
Who will win the Democratic primary for the US Senate election for New Jersey in 2024?
Started
Jan 5, 2024 06:00PM
Closed Jun 4, 2024 07:01AM (9 months ago)
Closed Jun 4, 2024 07:01AM (9 months ago)
Challenges
As incumbent Senator Bob Menendez faces federal corruption charges, New Jersey First Lady Tammy Murphy, Rep. Andy Kim, and others are vying for the Democratic nomination (AP, Politico, The Hill). The Democratic primary is scheduled for 4 June 2024 (Ballotpedia).
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The question closed "Andy Kim" with a closing date of 4 June 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Kim | 84% | |
| Bob Menendez | 5% | |
| Tammy Murphy | 7% | |
| Someone else | 4% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 71 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 181 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 162 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 529 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
Most Accurate
Relative Brier Score
Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time
- - - Correct answer became the crowd's highest probability answer - Jan 11, 2024 8:52AM PST (145 days before close, question was 4% complete)