Will a US presidential candidate other than the Democratic Party and Republican Party nominees win any electoral votes in the 2024 presidential election?
Closed Nov 05, 2024 08:01AM UTC
The 2024 US presidential election cycle brings the potential for major third-party and/or independent candidates (NBC News, USA Today). The winner of the most votes in a jurisdiction will be considered to have won the electoral votes for that jurisdiction, and whether there are any "faithless electors" as part of the Electoral College in the 2024 presidential election is immaterial (Ballotpedia).
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 5 November 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3% | |
| No | 97% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 161 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 452 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |