erikbays asks:
In Trump v. Anderson, will the Supreme Court rule that the Colorado Supreme Court erred in ordering Donald Trump excluded from the 2024 presidential primary ballot?
Closed Mar 04, 2024 03:00PM UTC
On 19 December 2023, the Colorado Supreme Court ruled 4-3 that Donald Trump was disqualified from becoming president under Section 3 of the 14th Amendment due to his role in the 6 January 2021 riot at the Capitol Building (CBS News, Colorado Supreme Court - Anderson v. Griswold). The US Supreme Court agreed to hear Trump's appeal and has scheduled oral arguments for 8 February 2024 (Axios, SCOTUSblog). The Supreme Court is expected to hand down its decision in its 2023 term, but if it does not, the question will close as "No." If the Court decides this case without addressing this question's particular issue of law, the question will close as "No."
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NOTE 9 February 2024: We have launched a companion question asking about the number of Supreme Court Justices voting against the Colorado Supreme Court decision here.
The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 4 March 2024.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 88% | |
No | 12% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 170 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 196 | |
Number of Forecasts | 305 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 560 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |