Will President Joe Biden win at least 80.0% of the vote in the 2024 Nevada Democratic primary?
Started
Jan 17, 2024 03:00PM
Closed Feb 6, 2024 08:01AM (a year ago)
Closed Feb 6, 2024 08:01AM (a year ago)
Challenges
There are 13 Democratic candidates on the Nevada Democratic primary ballot, including President Joe Biden and Marianne Williamson (Nevada Secretary of State, KRNV). The Nevada Democratic primary is scheduled for 6 February 2024 (270 to Win).
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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 6 February 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 87% | |
| No | 13% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 85 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 181 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 145 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 529 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
Most Accurate
Relative Brier Score
Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time
- - - Correct answer became the crowd's highest probability answer - Jan 17, 2024 7:11AM PST (20 days before close, question was 0% complete)