When will US legislation appropriating at least $1 billion of new funding for government and/or military assistance to Ukraine become law?
Closed Apr 19, 2024 07:01AM UTC
As the Biden Administration along with House and Senate leadership continue to negotiate for new appropriation bills, including new support for Ukraine, none has come as the Pentagon stated in early January 2024 that it was "out of money" for Ukraine (Defense News, ABC News, AP). Legislation that only extends preexisting funding for Ukraine (e.g., a continuing resolution without new funding) would not count (Government Accountability Office, Congressional Research Service).
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NOTE 6 February 2024: So long as funding is characterized as for Ukraine, whether the assistance is direct (e.g., a check sent to Kyiv) or indirect (e.g., replenishing inventories of weapons and equipment that had been sent to Ukraine) is immaterial.
The question closed "Not before 19 April 2024" with a closing date of 19 April 2024.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Before 19 February 2024 | 0% | |
Between 19 February 2024 and 18 March 2024 | 0% | |
Between 19 March 2024 and 18 April 2024 | 5% | |
Not before 19 April 2024 | 95% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 63 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 189 | |
Number of Forecasts | 356 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 546 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |