cosaib asks:
Will the UN declare that a famine exists in any part of the Gaza Strip before 1 September 2024?
Closed Sep 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC
Fighting in Gaza since Hamas' 7 October 2023 attack and Israel's subsequent response have left the area at risk for famine (US News & World Report, World Health Organization, Famine Early Warning Systems Network, Integrated Food Security Phase Classification, ReliefWeb). For general information on how famines are declared, see: NPR. The reporting of famine conditions without a UN famine declaration would not count.
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 September 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 17% | |
| No | 83% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 106 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 542 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
