What percentage of the vote will Nikki Haley receive in the 2024 South Carolina Republican presidential primary?
Started
Jan 24, 2024 04:00PM UTC
Closed Feb 24, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Closed Feb 24, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Challenges
Nikki Haley, who was governor of South Carolina for two terms, is fighting for her presidential campaign's survival as Donald Trump stacks up endorsements (WHYY, ABC News). The South Carolina Republican primary is scheduled for 24 February 2024 (270 to Win).
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The question closed "At least 30.0%, but less than 40.0%" with a closing date of 24 February 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than 10.0% | 3% | |
| At least 10.0%, but less than 20.0% | 6% | |
| At least 20.0%, but less than 30.0% | 20% | |
| At least 30.0%, but less than 40.0% | 51% | |
| At least 40.0%, but less than 50.0% | 18% | |
| 50.0% or more | 2% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 187 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 416 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 541 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
