What will be the market capitalization for the global cryptocurrency market on 2 August 2024, according to CoinMarketCap?

Started Feb 02, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 02, 2024 07:01AM UTC
Challenges
Tags

The market cap of the cryptocurrency market doubled in 2023, sparking renewed interest in the asset as bitcoin's next "halving" is expected in the spring of 2024 (CoinDesk, US News & World Report, Yahoo). The outcome will be determined using the last value dated 2 August 2024 (PT) as reported by CoinMarketCap under "Market cap" (CoinMarketCap, set time to "7d" and for "All coins").

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.


The question closed "More than $2.0 trillion but less than $2.4 trillion" with a closing date of 2 August 2024.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $800 billion 0%
Between $800 billion and $1.2 trillion, inclusive 0%
More than $1.2 trillion but less than $1.6 trillion 0%
Between $1.6 trillion and $2.0 trillion, inclusive 0%
More than $2.0 trillion but less than $2.4 trillion 70%
Between $2.4 trillion and $2.9 trillion, inclusive 29%
More than $2.9 trillion but less than $3.5 trillion 1%
$3.5 trillion or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 29
Average for questions older than 6 months: 195
Number of Forecasts 259
Average for questions older than 6 months: 559
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.144915
2.
-0.087766
3.
-0.086609
4.
-0.083005
5.
-0.067327

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username