Will Tesla shareholders vote on changing the company's state of incorporation from Delaware to Texas or elsewhere before 31 August 2024?

Started Feb 9, 2024 06:00PM
Closed Jun 13, 2024 09:00PM (9 months ago)
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On 30 January 2024, a decision out of Delaware's Court of Chancery voided Elon Musk's Tesla pay package, which prompted Musk to call for a shareholder vote to move Tesla's state of incorporation to Texas (Delaware Court of Chancery - Tornetta v. Musk, CNBC, Investopedia). The question will close early if there is a vote in the affirmative for the move, but not if there is a vote that is not in the affirmative for the move.

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The question closed "Yes, and the vote will be in the affirmative for the move" with a closing date of 13 June 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes, and the vote will be in the affirmative for the move 55%
Yes, but the vote will not be in the affirmative for the move 19%
No 26%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 44
Average for questions older than 6 months: 181
Number of Forecasts 120
Average for questions older than 6 months: 529
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.436164
2.
-0.413718
3.
-0.410569
4.
-0.397966
5.
-0.36822

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

- - - Correct answer became the crowd's highest probability answer - Jun 11, 2024 10:26AM PDT (2 days before close, question was 98% complete)
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