johnnycaffeine asks:
How many measles cases will be reported in the US in 2024?
Started
Feb 23, 2024 03:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC
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Cases of measles have risen globally amid widespread vaccine skepticism, and there are concerns over potential outbreaks in the US (ABC News, NPR). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2024 if still open and the outcome determined using data as first reported on the CDC's "Measles Cases and Outbreaks" page (CDC).
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fewer than 200 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| At least 200, but fewer than 400 | 96.00% | +1.50% | +4.00% | +10.62% |
| At least 400, but fewer than 800 | 4.00% | -1.22% | -4.00% | -9.31% |
| At least 800, but fewer than 1,200 | 0% | -0.28% | 0% | -1.13% |
| At least 1,200, but fewer than 1,600 | 0% | 0% | 0% | -0.06% |
| At least 1,600, but fewer than 2,000 | 0% | 0% | 0% | -0.06% |
| 2,000 or more | 0% | 0% | 0% | -0.06% |