What will be the national average price of a gallon of gasoline on 3 July 2024, according to the American Automobile Association (AAA)?
Started
Feb 23, 2024 03:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 03, 2024 07:00AM UTC
Closed Jul 03, 2024 07:00AM UTC
Challenges
Gas prices in the US fell in the final quarter of 2023, but they have begun to climb again for various reasons (CNN, Nerd Wallet, CNBC). The question will be suspended on 2 July 2024 and the outcome determined using data as reported by AAA for 3 July 2024 (AAA, see "Today's AAA National Average" graphic).
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The question closed "At least $3.45, but less than $3.75" with a closing date of 3 July 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than $2.25 | 0% | |
| At least $2.25, but less than $2.55 | 0% | |
| At least $2.55, but less than $2.85 | 0% | |
| At least $2.85, but less than $3.15 | 0% | |
| At least $3.15, but less than $3.45 | 10% | |
| At least $3.45, but less than $3.75 | 89% | |
| At least $3.75, but less than $4.05 | 1% | |
| At least $4.05, but less than $4.35 | 0% | |
| At least $4.35, but less than $4.65 | 0% | |
| $4.65 or more | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 73 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 186 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 418 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 539 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
