Will an F1 driver secure the 2024 championship at or before the 2024 Mexico City Grand Prix, scheduled for 27 October 2024?

Started Feb 23, 2024 03:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 27, 2024 07:01AM UTC

In 2023, Max Verstappen was crowned the F1 Drivers Champion at the Qatar Grand Prix with five races to go in the season, tying a record set by Michael Schumacher in 2002 (CNN, Formula 1 Points, Formula 1 - 2024 Schedule). The question will be suspended on 26 October 2024 if still open and the outcome determined using driver standings and open source reporting. If the Mexico City Grand Prix is canceled or postponed to a date after a subsequent race, a driver will have had to secure the 2024 championship before the currently scheduled date for the Mexico City Grand Prix to count.

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 27 October 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 6%
No 94%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 63
Average for questions older than 6 months: 187
Number of Forecasts 330
Average for questions older than 6 months: 542
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.709009
2.
-0.645937
3.
-0.616258
4.
-0.603482
5.
-0.528741

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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