Political concerns about the makeup of the Supreme Court continue to lead to speculation that a left-wing Justice may consider retirement while the Democratic Party controls the White House and the Senate (The Hill, Daily Mail). For the purposes of this question, an announced retirement effective upon the confirmation of a successor would count as a seat being vacated, though an announced retirement effective as of a date after 5 November 2024 would not count (e.g., Supreme Court - O'Connor Letter, Supreme Court - Breyer Letter).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 5 November 2024.

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