argon1 asks:

How many successful Starship launches will SpaceX perform in 2024?

Started Feb 28, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC

SpaceX is reportedly preparing for as many as nine Starship launches in 2024, with licensing from the FAA having been a source of delays in the past (Ars Technica, CNBC, SpaceX - Starship). A launch will be considered successful upon a successful first stage separation (Space.com).

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Two or fewer 0% 0% 0% -1.00%
Three or four 82.54% 0% -3.46% -12.46%
Five or six 17.46% 0% +3.46% +13.46%
Seven or eight 0% 0% 0% 0%
Nine or more 0% 0% 0% 0%

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