Remo-P asks:
How many total vehicles will Rivian produce in 2024?
Closing Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC
Electronic vehicle manufacturer Rivian disappointed analysts with a target production number of 57,000 vehicles in 2024, fewer than were produced in 2023 (US News & World Report, AP). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2024 and the outcome determined using Rivian's "Production & Delivery" press release for "Q4 & Full Year" of 2024 (Rivian - Investor Relations, see under "Quarterly Results"). In 2023, Rivian reported producing 57,232 vehicles (Rivian - Q4 2023 Financial Results). If Rivian does not publish full-year results, open-source information will be used to determine the number of deliveries.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fewer than 44,000 | 3.00% | 0% | 0% | +1.25% |
| At least 44,000, but fewer than 50,000 | 68.00% | -1.00% | -1.00% | +14.95% |
| At least 50,000, but fewer than 56,000 | 21.00% | +1.00% | +1.00% | -4.05% |
| At least 56,000, but fewer than 62,000 | 5.00% | 0% | 0% | -9.40% |
| At least 62,000, but fewer than 68,000 | 2.00% | 0% | 0% | -2.00% |
| At least 68,000, but fewer than 74,000 | 1.00% | 0% | 0% | -0.25% |
| At least 74,000, but fewer than 80,000 | 0% | 0% | 0% | -0.40% |
| 80,000 or more | 0% | 0% | 0% | -0.10% |