Will Russia officially recognize Transnistria (Pridnestrovskaia Moldavskaia Republic) in Moldova as an independent state or as otherwise not a part of the Republic of Moldova before 15 December 2024?
Started
Mar 08, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 15, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Closed Dec 15, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Challenges
As Russia's war in Ukraine continues, concerns remain that Russia may foment unrest in Moldova by recognizing Transnistria, a breakaway region in eastern Moldova on Ukraine's western border, which already hosts Russian peacekeepers (Britannica - Transnistria, Deutsche Welle, CNBC, Al Jazeera, European Council on Foreign Relations).
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 15 December 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 5% | |
| No | 95% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 92 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 398 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
