Will Russia officially recognize the Autonomous Territorial Unit of Gagauzia (Gagauzia) in Moldova as an independent state or otherwise as not a part of the Republic of Moldova before 15 December 2024?
Started
Mar 08, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 15, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Closed Dec 15, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Challenges
As Russia's war in Ukraine continues, concerns remain that Russia may foment unrest in Moldova by recognizing Gagauzia, an autonomous region in the country's south (US News & World Report, Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty, Jamestown Foundation).
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 15 December 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | |
| No | 100% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 61 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 245 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
