What will be the closing price of natural gas in Europe on 20 December 2024?

Started Mar 08, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 20, 2024 08:01AM UTC

While natural gas prices in Europe remained relatively stable in the mild winter of 2023-24, the continent's dependence on energy imports remains a concern given the unavailability of Russian gas (NASDAQ, Clean Energy Wire). The question will be suspended on 19 December 2024 and the outcome determined using Dutch TTF Gas data (euros per megawatt hour) as reported in the US by Trading Economics (Trading Economics, set chart to "6M").

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The question closed "At least €30.00, but less than €45.00" with a closing date of 20 December 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than €20.00 0%
At least €20.00, but less than €30.00 0%
At least €30.00, but less than €45.00 67%
At least €45.00, but less than €60.00 26%
At least €60.00, but less than €80.00 2%
At least €80.00, but less than €100.00 4%
€100.00 or more 1%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 52
Average for questions older than 6 months: 187
Number of Forecasts 423
Average for questions older than 6 months: 542
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.078584
2.
-0.043215
3.
-0.042929
4.
-0.039752
5.
-0.039702

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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