While natural gas prices in Europe remained relatively stable in the mild winter of 2023-24, the continent's dependence on energy imports remains a concern given the unavailability of Russian gas (NASDAQ, Clean Energy Wire). The question will be suspended on 19 December 2024 and the outcome determined using Dutch TTF Gas data (euros per megawatt hour) as reported in the US by Trading Economics (Trading Economics, set chart to "6M").

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.