David-Dowd asks:
Which country will win Eurovision 2024?
Started
Mar 15, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed May 11, 2024 07:01AM UTC
Closed May 11, 2024 07:01AM UTC
Challenges
Tags
The Eurovision Song Contest is a popular competition between countries in Europe (and some beyond) that began in 1956 (Eurovision - Origins). The Grand Final is scheduled to take place on Saturday 11 May 2024 (Eurovision).
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
The question closed "Switzerland" with a closing date of 11 May 2024.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Belgium | 2% | |
Croatia | 23% | |
Israel | 5% | |
Italy | 9% | |
Netherlands | 11% | |
Sweden | 3% | |
Switzerland | 19% | |
Ukraine | 8% | |
Another country | 19% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 25 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
Number of Forecasts | 90 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 541 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |