Who will win the US Senate election for Maryland in 2024?

Started Mar 15, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 05, 2024 08:01AM UTC

As of 15 March 2024, Republicans are defending 11 seats while Democrats and aligned independents are defending 23 on 5 November 2024 (270 to Win, Ballotpedia).

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The question closed "The Democratic Party candidate" with a closing date of 5 November 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
The Democratic Party candidate 95%
The Republican Party candidate 5%
Someone else 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 68
Average for questions older than 6 months: 187
Number of Forecasts 260
Average for questions older than 6 months: 542
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.129539
2.
-0.128475
4.
-0.127709
5.
-0.118555

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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