Who will win the US Senate election for Pennsylvania in 2024?

Started Mar 15, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 05, 2024 08:01AM UTC

As of 15 March 2024, Republicans are defending 11 seats while Democrats and aligned independents are defending 23 on 5 November 2024 (270 to Win, Ballotpedia).

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The question closed "The Republican Party candidate" with a closing date of 5 November 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
The Democratic Party candidate 88%
The Republican Party candidate 12%
Someone else 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 67
Average for questions older than 6 months: 189
Number of Forecasts 234
Average for questions older than 6 months: 545
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-1.120241
2.
-0.999173
3.
-0.761811
4.
-0.758357
5.
-0.715577

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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