What will be the annual percentage change of the S&P/Case-Shiller US National Home Price Index for October 2024?
Closed Nov 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC
US housing prices have begun to rise again despite high interest rates and general economic anxiety (US Bank, Yahoo, CNN). The question will be suspended on 31 October 2024 and the outcome determined using S&P/Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index data as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database (FRED, click "Edit Graph" and change "Units" to "Percent Change from Year Ago"). As of the launch of this question, the annual percentage change for October 2023 was 4.68622%.
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The question closed "Up by at least 2.5%, but less than 5.0%" with a closing date of 1 November 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Down by more than 5.0% | 1% | |
| Down by more than 2.5%, but at most 5.0% | 1% | |
| Down by more than 0.0%, but at most 2.5% | 1% | |
| Up by at least 0.0%, but less than 2.5% | 3% | |
| Up by at least 2.5%, but less than 5.0% | 91% | |
| Up by at least 5.0%, but less than 7.5% | 5% | |
| Up by 7.5% more | 1% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 22 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 131 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 541 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
