Foxes ask:
What will be the percentage of Irish national parliament voting intention for Sinn Féin (SF) as of 25 October 2024, according to Politico?
Closed Oct 25, 2024 07:01AM UTC
Sinn Féin, a left-wing, staunchly nationalist Irish political party, is leading in polls as the current coalition government replaces its prime minister with elections due by March 2025 (Politico, Yahoo, Sinn Féin). The question will be suspended on 24 October 2024 and the outcome determined using data as provided in Politico's "Poll of Polls" page for Ireland no earlier than 31 October 2024 (Politico - Ireland Poll of Polls, use default "Smooth" view). Whether elections are called early and/or take place during the question's open period is immaterial.
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The question closed "Less than 20%" with a closing date of 25 October 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than 20% | 65% | |
| At least 20%, but less than 25% | 20% | |
| At least 25%, but less than 30% | 4% | |
| At least 30%, but less than 35% | 2% | |
| 35% or more | 9% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 26 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 153 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
