UBS asks:
How many travelers will the US Transportation Security Agency (TSA) screen between 1 May 2024 and 31 July 2024?
Closed Aug 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC
Total air passenger traffic in the US recovered to pre-pandemic levels in 2023 (IATA). The question will be suspended on 31 July 2024 and the outcome determined using "TSA checkpoint travel numbers" as reported by the TSA (TSA - Passenger Throughput). Between 1 May 2023 and 31 July 2023, the TSA screened 231,565,005 travelers.
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The question closed "At least 244 million, but fewer than 254 million" with a closing date of 1 August 2024.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Fewer than 224 million | 0% | |
| At least 224 million, but fewer than 234 million | 1% | |
| At least 234 million, but fewer than 244 million | 3% | |
| At least 244 million, but fewer than 254 million | 94% | |
| At least 254 million, but fewer than 264 million | 2% | |
| At least 264 million, but fewer than 274 million | 1% | |
| 274 million or more | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 75 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 355 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
