Will Serbia notify the Secretary General of the Council of Europe of its intention to withdraw from the organization before 18 June 2024?

Started Apr 05, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 18, 2024 07:01AM UTC

On 27 March 2024, a committee of the Council of Europe, a human rights organization, voted to recommend that Kosovo be granted membership (Balkan Insight, Council of Europe). Serbian President Aleksandar Vučić threatened to pull Serbia out of the Council of Europe if Kosovo is granted membership (Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty, Eunews). Per Article 7 of the Statute of the Council of Europe, a member "may withdraw by formally notifying the Secretary General of its intention to do so" (Statute of the Council of Europe).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 18 June 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 37
Average for questions older than 6 months: 187
Number of Forecasts 81
Average for questions older than 6 months: 541
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.002353
2.
-0.002353
3.
-0.002353
4.
-0.002353
5.
-0.002353

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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