UBS asks:
What will be the closing market capitalization for New York Community Bancorp, Inc. (NYCB) on 2 August 2024?
Closed Aug 02, 2024 07:01AM UTC
NYCB, a bank struggling with high exposure to commercial real estate loans, gained a lifeline investment from a group led by former Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin in March 2024 (Investopedia, Yahoo). The question will be suspended on 1 August 2024 and the outcome determined using data as reported by CNBC (CNBC, see "Market Cap"). Shares of NYCB need not trade for the full trading day on 2 August 2024 for it to be considered to have traded on that date. If the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), the exchange on which NYCB trades, does not open for any trading on 2 August 2024, the outcome will be determined using the closing price from the most recent previous trading day for the NYSE so long as NYCB was traded on that day.
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The question closed "At least $3 billion, but less than $4 billion" with a closing date of 2 August 2024.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Less than $1 billion | 0% | |
At least $1 billion, but less than $2 billion | 0% | |
At least $2 billion, but less than $3 billion | 1% | |
At least $3 billion, but less than $4 billion | 94% | |
At least $4 billion, but less than $5 billion | 5% | |
$5 billion or more | 0% | |
NYCB will fail or be delisted before 3 August 2024 or will not trade publicly on 2 August 2024 | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 34 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 186 | |
Number of Forecasts | 172 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 539 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |