Before 15 June 2024, will the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Board of Governors adopt a new resolution or other instrument calling for better cooperation from Iran regarding its nuclear program?
Closed Jun 05, 2024 01:00PM UTC
In March 2024, the US and other IAEA member states threatened future actions against Iran for "stonewalling" the IAEA's work to monitor the country's nuclear program (Arms Control Association, US News & World Report). The last such resolution was adopted in November 2022 (Al Jazeera, IAEA - Iran IAEA Resolutions). The next IAEA Board of Governors meeting is scheduled for 3-7 June 2024 (IAEA - Upcoming Events).
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 5 June 2024.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 59% | |
No | 41% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 28 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
Number of Forecasts | 83 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |